EUR/USD has retraced previous gains on Wednesday, to extend its decline to one-week lows below 1.1600, trading at 1.1586 at the time of writing. The US Dollar (USD) resumed its uptrend in the early European trading session, with markets in a cautious mood ahead of the speeches of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials due later on the day.
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On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump rebuffed meeting requests by Democratic lawmakers from the previous day, saying that he will not meet them until the government reopens. Meanwhile, the shutdown enters its fourth week as the Senate failed to pass a funding resolution for the 11th time on Monday.
In the absence of key macroeconomic releases in the Eurozone and the US, the speeches of European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, including President Christine Lagarde and Vice President Luis de Guindos, and Fed officials will be the unique distraction for traders. These speeches, however, are unlikely to provide any new clues on the central banks’ near-term monetary policies.
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the British Pound.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.13% | 0.34% | -0.09% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.01% | |
| EUR | -0.13% | 0.21% | -0.23% | -0.08% | -0.06% | -0.09% | -0.12% | |
| GBP | -0.34% | -0.21% | -0.44% | -0.26% | -0.27% | -0.31% | -0.33% | |
| JPY | 0.09% | 0.23% | 0.44% | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.13% | 0.13% | |
| CAD | -0.05% | 0.08% | 0.26% | -0.14% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.04% | |
| AUD | -0.06% | 0.06% | 0.27% | -0.17% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.06% | |
| NZD | -0.01% | 0.09% | 0.31% | -0.13% | 0.01% | 0.04% | -0.02% | |
| CHF | -0.01% | 0.12% | 0.33% | -0.13% | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.02% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
Daily digest market movers: Fed monetary easing hopes to limit US Dollar rallies
- The US Dollar lost momentum as the latest episode of the Sino-US trade war went into the back burner, and investors shifted their focus once again to the protracted US government shutdown and the prospects of a series of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
- A survey by Reuters showed on Tuesday that most analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points at the October 28-29 meeting and a further quarter-point in December. 25 of 33 economists show concerns that the central bank might go too far with monetary easing and set a very low terminal rate by the end of next year.
- Another Reuters poll released on Wednesday showed unanimity, forecasting that the ECB will leave interest rates unchanged at its October 30 monetary policy meeting. More than half of the surveyed experts – 45 out of 79 – expect that the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged at 2% through 2026.
- US President Trump affirmed on Tuesday that Republicans “will not be extorted” by Democrats to bend to their demands, which suggests that this government closure is likely to be one of the largest in history. Such an extended closure will likely take a toll on US GDP growth and undermine investors’ confidence in the US Dollar.
- Earlier this week, Trump announced that he will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea next week and that he expects to reach a fair deal. These comments have ditched fears of a US-China trade war, at least for now, and triggered a sharp sell-off in precious metals.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD extends losses below the 1.1600 support area
EUR/USD‘s upside attempts have been short-lived, and the pair resumed its decline on Wednesday’s European session, breaching the 1.1600 support area. The pair remains on a bearish trend following the rejection at 1.1730 last week. Technical indicators are in negative territory. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index is close but not yer ar oversold levels, and the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) remains well below the signal line.
With this in mind, the possibility of a retest of the October 9 and 14 lows in the area of 1.1545 remains on the table. Further down, the channel bottom, now around 1.1460, emerges as the next potential target. To the upside, the pair would need an unlikely rebound beyond Tuesday’s highs, in the area of 1.1650 to shift the focus towards the October 17 high, at 1.1728. Further up, the October 1 high, around 1.1775, comes into focus.
Economic Indicator
ECB’s President Lagarde speech
The European Central Bank’s President Christine Lagarde, born in 1956 in France, has formerly served as Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, and minister of finance in France. She began her eight-year term at the helm of the ECB in November 2019. As part of her job in the Governing Council, Lagarde holds press conferences in detailing how the ECB observes the current and future state of the European economy. Her comments may positively or negatively the Euro’s trend in the short term. Usually, a hawkish outlook boosts the Euro (bullish), while a dovish one weighs on the common currency (bearish).
Next release:
Wed Oct 22, 2025 12:25
Frequency:
Irregular
Consensus:
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Previous:
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Source:
European Central Bank
Economic Indicator
Fed’s Musalem speech
Alberto G. Musalem is the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis since April 2, 2024. Musalem – with almost three decades of public and private sector experience in economic policy, finance and markets – represents the Eighth Federal Reserve District in national monetary policymaking on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Musalem rotates with other regional Reserve bank presidents as a voting member on the FOMC.
Economic Indicator
Fed’s Barr speech
Michael S. Barr is an American academic and a Governor on the
Federal Reserve board. Barr took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on July 19, 2022, for an unexpired term ending January 31, 2032.
Next release:
Wed Oct 22, 2025 20:00
Frequency:
Irregular
Consensus:
–
Previous:
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Source:
Federal Reserve